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March Resale Housing Supply and Demand



A lot more resale homes were sold in March than in February, but that's how it happens every year. As a matter of fact, this year's February-to-March rise of 23 percent looks pretty weak compared to last year's 40 percent increase. Between March 2007 and March 2008, sales volume declined by almost 34 percent.

Things looked brighter on the inventory front. Despite a seasonal tendency to rise, resale inventory was pretty much unchanged from February. This compares to an increase of almost 5 percent between February and March of 2007. However, inventory was still 17 percent higher than it had been a year prior.

The steep rise in sales made for an equally steep drop in the number of months' worth of inventory sitting on the market. However, if past seasonal patterns hold, that figure will start creeping up in the months ahead. Even if it doesn't, 10 months' worth of inventory represents a level that is understood to put serious pressure on home prices. The unusually high proportion of "must-sell" inventory -- typically properties that are bank-owned or vacant -- will likely apply more pressure still.

-- RICH TOSCANO



A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

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This Just In

A Quick Fix:

 If you checked out the list of school bond projects last week, check again. » Jul. 7 -- 3:50 pm



Angry Over La Raza:

 City Hall flooded with e-mails, calls protesting San Diego's honoring of Latino rights group

Jul. 7 -- 3:47 pm


SD Dives into Private Equity:

 NY Times looks at San Diego's latest pension bet.

Jul. 7 -- 5:56 pm


MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

Survival Gone Fishin' -- Really :

  My dad caught some salmon, my sister's getting hitched and the Great White North beckons.

Jun. 27 -- 5:42 pm



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

No Love for Lindbergh:

  Why has San Diego fallen off of the Los Angeles Times’ radar?

Jul. 7 -- 4:11 pm



CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

How'd You Get on This Story? :

  And how did you get Susan Golding to talk? More reader questions on the George Gorton profile.

Jun. 25 -- 1:28 pm



COMMENTARY: SLOP

And Now, the Port :

  The agency joins a long list of San Diego governments willing to spend the public's money telling them how to vote.

Jul. 6 -- 6:57 pm



COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

Silent Spring :

  The spring selling season has come and gone with no hint of the the typical seasonal rally in home prices.

Jul. 4 -- 1:35 pm


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